Possible scenario
Attacks Narrow Race
30% Chance
Trump's attacks resonate with enough Republican and swing voters to shift the race toward questions of national security, identity, and ideological extremism. Even without proof of Muslim Brotherhood ties, repeated messaging raises doubts among some undecided voters.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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