Possible scenario
Wall Street Retreats
20% Chance
Other U.S. banks respond to the Moonshot AI episode by applying tougher compliance screens to Chinese AI, battery, and semiconductor-related listings. The impact is concentrated in underwriting fees, reputational risk, and the viability of U.S. banks participating in Hong Kong deals.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.1%
- Finance -0.1%
Tickers
- MS-0.3%
- BAC-0.1%
- GS-0.1%
- JPM-0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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