Possible scenario
Gradual London Adoption
45% Chance
ICE's London gold futures gain traction because they sit close to the LBMA vaulting and bullion-bank ecosystem. Adoption is meaningful but not instantly disruptive, with early liquidity concentrated around hedging, delivery optionality, and arbitrage with New York.
Secondary impacts
- Finance +0.2%
Tickers
- ICE+1.7%
- CME-0.4%
- JPM+0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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