Possible scenario
Gold Market Tightening
20% Chance
Physical gold markets focus on China's ability to absorb bullion supply at scale. The effect is concentrated in gold miners, refiners, and materials shares rather than the broader equity market.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- 10-year Treasury yield Down
- Copper Up
- US dollar Down
Secondary impacts
- Non-Energy Materials +1.1%
Tickers
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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