Possible scenario
Execution Delays Emerge
25% Chance
The loan remains intact, but nuclear uprate execution proves slower than expected because of long-lead equipment, outage scheduling, or NRC-related engineering work. The Meta contract remains a demand anchor, limiting downside, but investors reduce near-term earnings expectations.
Secondary impacts
- Utilities -0.7%
Tickers
- VST-3.9%
- CEG-0.7%
- META-0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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