Possible scenario
Demand Evidence Reassures
20% Chance
Concrete signs of continued AI infrastructure spending offset the DeepSeek efficiency narrative. Reports of firm HBM allocations or reaffirmed hyperscaler capex plans restore confidence in the Korean memory cycle.
Secondary impacts
- Technology +1.2%
- Industrials +0.3%
Tickers
- NVDA+1.9%
- MU+1.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.6%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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