Possible scenario
Clean Transition
42% Chance
Governor Mikie Sherrill moves quickly to separate her administration from Dale Caldwell and restore operational stability. Legislative Democrats have a strong incentive to confirm a low-risk replacement and avoid extending the scandal into the 2027 legislative cycle.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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