Possible scenario
Logistics Disruption Emerges
15% Chance
A less likely but market-relevant path is that inspections find damage to roads, port facilities, power assets, or fuel infrastructure outside the main quake zone. Even then, the global reaction should be modest unless Canal operations are directly affected.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Oil prices Up
Secondary impacts
- Industrials -0.2%
- Energy +0.1%
Tickers
- CPA-1.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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