Possible scenario
Humanitarian Strain Persists
30% Chance
The quake's social impact proves larger than the initial count of damaged homes, especially if remote communities remain difficult to access. National infrastructure still functions, but the government faces several weeks of shelter, sanitation, and road-repair pressure.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -0.1%
- Non-Energy Materials +0.1%
Tickers
- CPA-1.0%
- AES-0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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