Possible scenario
Urban Interface Damage
25% Chance
Wind pushes the Norte Fire deeper into the wildland-urban interface around San Juan Capistrano and nearby Orange County communities. Structure losses remain far below a statewide catastrophe, but insurers and utilities face near-term headline risk.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Utilities -0.8%
- Finance -0.3%
- Consumer Services -0.3%
Tickers
- EIX-4.0%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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