Possible scenario
Nomination Gridlock Persists
30% Chance
The resignation does not end the controversy over cabinet screening, and the People Power Party uses the failed nominations to challenge Lee's personnel judgment. Acting ministers remain in place longer than expected, weakening momentum for education and gender-equality policy changes.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- US dollar Up
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.3%
- Finance -0.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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