Possible scenario
Pilot Scales Gradually
55% Chance
The most likely outcome is a controlled rollout in which the Bank of Korea keeps the pilot narrow while confirming settlement reliability for foreign investors. Korea Exchange after-hours trading and round-the-clock won settlement begin to align operationally, improving market accessibility without creating a major macro shock.
Secondary impacts
- Finance +0.4%
- Technology +0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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