Possible scenario
Adoption Stays Limited
25% Chance
Foreign institutions welcome the facility but initially route only limited volumes through the new 24-hour settlement channel. Operational conservatism among custodians and global asset managers keeps the pilot from producing an immediate liquidity step-change.
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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