Possible scenario
California Rule Spreads
38% Chance
California's ban on AI emotion tracking and fully automated firing decisions becomes a model for other Democratic-led states. Employers with national workforces begin standardizing around the strictest state rule rather than maintaining separate HR systems.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.6%
- Business Services +0.4%
Tickers
- WDAY-2.3%
- ADP+1.2%
- PAYX+1.0%
- ORCL-0.7%
- +0.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.3%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.