Possible scenario
Limited US Support
45% Chance
Washington maintains its refusal to conduct offensive strikes for Saudi Arabia but expands intelligence, early-warning, and targeting support. Riyadh accepts the limited help while seeking additional Patriot and THAAD interceptors from the United States and European partners.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Oil prices Up
Secondary impacts
- Industrials +0.3%
- Energy +0.1%
- Consumer Services -0.1%
Tickers
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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