Possible scenario
Industry Splits Publicly
20% Chance
Competitors and enterprise customers use the controversy to distinguish their own safety practices from OpenAI's posture. The result is a partial reputational rotation within the AI sector rather than a broad market shock.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.9%
- Business Services -0.1%
Tickers
- MSFT-1.0%
- CRM-0.5%
- NOW-0.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.4%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.