Possible scenario
Local prosecutions follow
38% Chance
Washington regulators and local prosecutors treat the case primarily as a Seattle-area subsidy fraud matter. The most likely path is administrative suspensions, repayment demands, and targeted criminal referrals rather than a broad market-moving policy shift.
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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