Possible scenario
Trump Drag Deepens
30% Chance
The removal of Trump references is interpreted as evidence that Republican nominees see Trump as a liability in Michigan. With Trump approval weakening among white non-college voters and statewide races already tied, Democrats gain a clearer messaging opening.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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