Possible scenario
MAGA Backlash Builds
17% Chance
The website change angers some Trump loyalists who view it as disloyal after James launched as a Trump ally. Even without a formal break, conservative activists and influencers could create turnout or fundraising problems for James.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.