Possible scenario
Buybacks Stabilize Market
45% Chance
The Ministry of Economy and Finance and the Bank of Korea contain the immediate disorder in the Korean Treasury Bond market. Daily buybacks restore two-way trading, reduce auction anxiety, and limit spillovers into broader Asian risk assets.
Initial impacts
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Down
- Market volatility Down
- 10-year Treasury yield Up
- US dollar Down
Secondary impacts
- Technology +0.4%
- Finance +0.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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