Possible scenario
Populists Gain Seats
25% Chance
Pro-Kremlin or Russia-accommodating parties gain vote share, especially among Russian-speaking and economically dissatisfied voters. However, mainstream Latvian parties still refuse to include Stability! or any party demanding a reversal of sanctions on Russian oligarchs.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- US dollar Up
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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