Possible scenario
Protections Stay Intact
45% Chance
The White House keeps the DHS termination plan blocked because removing work authorization from roughly 200,000 Salvadorans would create political and labor-market backlash. President Donald Trump’s advisers prioritize midterm-state employers, Salvadoran-American communities, and a narrower immigration enforcement agenda.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services +0.2%
- Industrials +0.1%
- Consumer Non-Cyclicals +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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