Possible scenario
Talks Drag On
25% Chance
Negotiations continue but fail to produce a signed agreement quickly enough to fully de-risk the IPO prospectus. The base case remains settlement, but investors demand more disclosure and a wider valuation discount.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.2%
- Consumer Services +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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