Possible scenario
Alternative Supply Route
28% Chance
If Athens and Madrid keep resisting, NATO is likely to look for substitute inventories from countries more willing to accept short-term air-defense risk. The United States, Germany, the Netherlands, and Romania are the most plausible coordinators of an alternative package.
Secondary impacts
- Industrials +0.5%
Tickers
- RTX+0.9%
- LMT+0.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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