Possible scenario
Goodfire Builds Momentum
20% Chance
Goodfire could substantiate enough of Cammarata's claim to shift the debate from whether models are legible to which parts are legible and under what conditions. This would strengthen the commercial case for interpretability tools used in model evaluation, red-teaming, and AI governance.
Secondary impacts
- Technology +0.3%
- Business Services +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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