Possible scenario
Policy Divergence Deepens
18% Chance
The global sales mix hides sharp regional differences. Europe and China keep tightening rules, while parts of the United States and emerging markets move more slowly because of politics, affordability and charging constraints.
Initial impacts
- Copper Up
- Oil prices Down
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Cyclicals +0.7%
- Non-Energy Materials +0.5%
- Energy -0.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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