Diplomacy Gains Traction
+0.5%
The most likely near-term path is that both diplomatic tracks continue without a final settlement but with enough visible progress to keep the geopolitical oil-risk premium falling. Brent remains under pressure as traders price lower odds of Hormuz disruption and a smaller war-risk premium around Russian supply.
What it moves
- Energy−1.8%
- Consumer Cyclicals+0.9%
- Market volatility
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
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