Maritime confrontation
−0.9%
A breakdown in talks produces a tense maritime incident involving US and Cuban vessels near the island. This remains less likely because Trump has framed the deal as a way to avoid force, but recent fuel-ship seizures create room for miscalculation.
What it moves
- Energy+1.2%
- Consumer Services−1.0%
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
- Market volatility
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