Possible scenario
Exemptions Absorbed Administratively
45% Chance
The Army treats Archbishop Timothy Broglio's statement and the soldiers' requests as an accommodation issue rather than a reason to halt the execution. Commanders excuse Catholic objectors and assemble a lawful firing party from personnel without religious objections.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.