Possible scenario
GOP Majority Stabilizes
23% Chance
Republican donors and Senate Leadership Fund respond aggressively, offsetting Senate Majority PAC's advertising edge before it changes the fundamentals of the map. GOP incumbents survive the most expensive races, and Democrats' record fundraising mainly raises the cost of defense.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services +0.3%
- Energy +0.2%
- Finance +0.2%
Tickers
- GTN.A+1.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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