Possible scenario
Democrats Win Control
34% Chance
Senate Majority PAC's record $151 million quarter helps Democrats sustain late advertising in Texas, North Carolina, Maine and another competitive Republican-held seat. The GOP's reduced donor flow after Mellon cuts leaves several incumbents on defense, making a narrow Democratic Senate majority plausible.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- 10-year Treasury yield Down
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.5%
- Finance -0.3%
- Healthcare -0.3%
- Utilities
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.3%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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