Possible scenario
Technical Frictions Appear
20% Chance
The shorter block interval exposes performance issues for some nodes, wallets, or indexers. Developers delay any mainnet timetable while they analyze orphan rates, network bandwidth needs, and shielded transaction synchronization.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Down
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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