Possible scenario
Contained Criminal Case
40% Chance
South Korean investigators use the AI-written resume, IP records, and bank logs to build a conventional criminal case rather than a broader state-directed attribution. Banks accelerate patching and customer notifications, but reported losses remain limited.
Secondary impacts
- Finance +0.3%
- Technology +0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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