Possible scenario
Supply Stabilizes
42% Chance
European refineries sustain very high utilization rates without major outages, offsetting the loss of Russian diesel and refined products. Imports from the United States, Middle East, and India supplement local output, keeping wholesale markets tight but orderly.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Up
Secondary impacts
- Energy +0.9%
Tickers
- TTE+1.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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