Possible scenario
Audit Fuels Oversight
30% Chance
Even without a criminal case, congressional Republicans continue using the Fed headquarters renovation to challenge Powell’s management record. The issue remains politically noisy but does not immediately change monetary policy or Fed governance.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- 10-year Treasury yield Up
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.2%
- Finance -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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