Possible scenario
Trust Barriers Return
20% Chance
DeepSeek’s usage surge triggers new scrutiny from governments and regulated enterprises over data handling, model provenance, and China-linked infrastructure. This does not necessarily stop adoption, but it can split the market between low-cost developer usage and stricter enterprise procurement.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.1%
- Business Services -0.1%
Tickers
- MSFT+1.6%
- NVDA+0.7%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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