Possible scenario
Enforcement widens
20% Chance
The crackdown expands beyond the initial purge into civil and criminal enforcement against enrollment rings, broker networks, and potentially negligent plan sponsors. This is the most negative path for companies with concentrated ACA exchange exposure.
Secondary impacts
- Healthcare -0.6%
- Business Services -0.5%
Tickers
- EHTH-3.8%
- OSCR-3.4%
- CNC-2.4%
- MOH-1.7%
- -0.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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