Possible scenario
Backlash slows purge
25% Chance
Consumer groups, Democratic-led states, and affected households challenge the purge on due-process grounds. The administration keeps the fraud narrative intact, but court orders or congressional hearings delay final disenrollments and create uncertainty for insurers and brokers.
Secondary impacts
- Business Services -0.1%
Tickers
- EHTH-1.6%
- OSCR+0.6%
- CNC+0.3%
- MOH+0.3%
- UNH+0.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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