Possible scenario
Confidence Gradually Returns
45% Chance
The most likely path is that Bitget's withdrawal restart and reported 651 ETH net inflow signal that panic withdrawals are easing. The exchange still faces reputational damage from the $388 million zero-day exploit, but transparent reserve updates and normal withdrawals limit contagion.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Up
Tickers
- COIN+0.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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