Possible scenario
Husted Late Recovery
42% Chance
Husted overtakes Brown as Republican turnout returns to Ohio’s recent baseline and national GOP groups outspend Democrats in the final stretch. Brown remains competitive, but the state’s rightward lean proves decisive once undecided voters break against him.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Up
Secondary impacts
- Finance +0.1%
Tickers
- COIN+1.2%
- HOOD+0.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.