Possible scenario
Brown Narrow Comeback
38% Chance
Brown’s small polling lead holds through the final month, helped by name recognition, labor support, and residual personal brand strength with some working-class Ohio voters. Husted keeps the race close, but outside spending does not fully erase Brown’s advantage among independents and older voters.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Down
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.1%
Tickers
- COIN-1.4%
- -0.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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