Possible scenario
Cambodia Reassures ASEAN
20% Chance
Phnom Penh tries to reduce diplomatic costs by offering transparency measures while preserving Chinese-funded infrastructure gains. This outcome lowers immediate regional tension but does not fully remove doubts about future PLA access.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services +0.1%
- Industrials -0.1%
Tickers
- RTX-0.2%
- -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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