Possible scenario
Compliance Friction
25% Chance
The new Google policy proves workable but operationally demanding, requiring advertisers to document licensing status, product scope and target geography. Smaller offshore brokers and token platforms struggle to qualify, limiting the near-term advertising surge.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Down
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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