Possible scenario
Gas Relief Compresses
20% Chance
Coal profitability falls back as gas availability improves or demand weakens. This scenario reverses part of the current scarcity premium and favors energy-intensive industrial users over power generators.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Up
Secondary impacts
- Utilities -0.5%
- Non-Energy Materials +0.5%
- Industrials +0.4%
- Energy -0.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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