Possible scenario
Feely loses primary
30% Chance
The Sinema vote fails to expand Feely's coalition enough to overcome a more ideologically conservative Republican rival. GOP primary voters treat Sinema's involvement as a liability rather than a validation of Feely's electability.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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