Possible scenario
Supply Response Eases
15% Chance
Distributors, refiners, and regulators respond quickly enough to soften the local shortage even before Joliet is fully restored. Additional barrels from nearby refineries, storage, or adjusted logistics reduce the risk of a persistent retail gasoline spike.
Secondary impacts
- Energy +0.1%
Tickers
- PSX-0.1%
- XOM+0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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