Possible scenario
Joliet Restarts Quickly
45% Chance
Exxon resolves the Joliet refinery problem within several days, similar to the late-September restoration. Chicago gasoline remains elevated briefly, but traders price in a return of local supply rather than a sustained Midwest shortage.
Secondary impacts
- Energy +0.1%
Tickers
- XOM+0.2%
- PSX-0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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