Possible scenario
Caretaker Role Holds
30% Chance
The Pentagon frames the appointment as an administrative bridge rather than a content-control move. This outcome is plausible if Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth and the Defense Media Activity offer written assurances that the acting publisher will not review stories before publication.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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