Possible scenario
Juvenile Crime Case
45% Chance
Investigators treat the shooting primarily as a juvenile criminal case rather than terrorism or organized violence. The most likely near-term path is charges for attempted murder or aggravated violence, with the focus on how the minor obtained the firearm.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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