Possible scenario
Orderly Containment
45% Chance
Bitget's withdrawal restart holds, customer redemptions remain manageable, and the exchange convinces major counterparties that it can absorb the loss. This is the most likely path because the company moved quickly to restore withdrawals and has a strong incentive to prevent a confidence spiral.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Up
Secondary impacts
- Finance +0.1%
Tickers
- COIN+1.0%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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